Modelling and mapping current and future distribution and transmission pathways of Australian mosquito-borne diseases

Principal Advisor: Associate Professor Benn Sartorius

Research group page: ODeSI Operational Research and Decision Support for Prevention, Control and Elimination of Infectious Diseases

Organisational unit: UQ Centre for Clinical Research

The project will focus on modelling and mapping the current and future distribution and transmission pathways of mosquito-borne diseases in Australia. By integrating environmental data, climate projections, mosquito population dynamics, and disease transmission models, the researchers aim to understand how these diseases might spread and evolve, given changing climate, in Australia. Through advanced spatial-temporal modelling techniques, the project will identify areas at higher risk for mosquito-borne diseases, such as Japanese Encephalitis, Ross River virus and Murray Valley encephalitis. By examining the current distribution patterns and considering future climate scenarios, the project will aim predict changes in the transmission season as well as potential shifts in disease hotspots and explore new areas vulnerable to outbreaks. This research could provide valuable insights for public health authorities and policymakers in Australia to and support evidence-based decision-making and help pre-emptively develop targeted intervention strategies for areas at current high risk and areas that may become at risk in future given project climatic and environmental changes. Furthermore, the project's findings will aid in raising awareness among communities and healthcare professionals about the changing dynamics of mosquito-borne diseases. This knowledge can contribute to better preparedness, early detection, and timely public health responses, ultimately reducing the impact of these diseases on the population's health and well-being in Australia.